Journal of Social Development in Africa (2000), 15, 1,49-60 African Social Security Systems: An Ordinal Evaluation JOHN DIXON* ABSTRACT The purpose of this paper is to rank the soeial security systems in 45 African countries using a comparative evaluation methodology that enables an assessment to be made of a country's statutory social security intention. The conclusion drawn is that the spread of African social security system design standards are comparable to those of Latin American countries, although the poorest designed African systems arc somewhat superior to their Latin American counterparts. The very best designed African social security systems are in North Africa: Tunisia (with its world-class family support program), Algeria and Libya, although Mauritius also stands out. Introduction Descriptive and analytical comparative social security research on Africa began in the 1960s (Gcrig 1966, Kessler 1966) and has continued on a modest scale ever since (Moulton 1975, ILO1977, Ejuba 1982, Dixon 1987,Gruat 1990). This study contributes to this literature by incorporating an evaluative dimension that permits the ranking of African social security systems. The major social security strategics used in Africa to meet the social security needs arc: social insurance, social assistance, social allowances, mandatory public savings (National Provident Funds) and employee liability (see Table 1 and Dixon 1999: 20-24). The objective of this paper is to rank the 45 African social security systems using a comparative evaluation methodology that enables an assessment to be made of each country's statutory social security intention. Itdraws upon areccnlly completed global study, which ranks the design standards of social security programs and systems in 172 countries (Dixon 1999). *Dr John Dixon, Reader in International Social Policy, Department of Social Policy and Social Work, University of Plymouth, Drake Circus, Plymouth PL4 8AA, UK, Tel: 44- 1752-233274; Fax: 44-1752-233209; email: J.Dixon@plymouth.ac.uk. 50 John Dixon Table 1: Social Security Strategies SlK'Ul Secuntv Strategy Social Assistance Social Insurance Social Allowances Mandatory Public SavinRs Emp lover Liability Source: Dixon 1999: 6 Approaches to Evaluating Social Security Systems A variety of evaluation methodologies could be used to assess national social security systems (Dixon 1998, ISS A 1976). First, they could be evaluated by their inputs (using as measures, say, public social security receipts or expenditure as a percentage of Gross National Product (GNP), public social security receipts or expenditure per capita, indices of average annual benefit expenditure per capita over time, or indices of the real average annual benefit expenditure per capita over lime). Undoubtedly, public social security expenditure dam permit a statistical portrayal ol social security system input levels and trends over time, but it docs exclude programs financed only by employers or individuals and a careful appraisal of the comparability of expenditure data is obligatory. As a comparative evaluative methodology capable of broad application, input evaluation methodologies are found to be wanting. Second, social security systems could be judged by their efficiency (using as an cllicicncy measure administrative cost per unit of social security benefit dispersed), which is problematic because of double counting and the existence of Coverage Primar> Sources of Funding Primary Social Security Goal Poverty alleviation Public revenue Entire population or designated categories Poverty prevention Employees in designated categories and their dependents Contributions frum covered employees, their employers, and government Public revenue Social compensation Entire population or designated categories Poverty prevention Employee* m designated categories and their dependents Contributions (rum covered employees and their employers Povcm prevention Designated emplmers Employees and their dependents Primary Forms of Benefits Primary Benefits Eligibility Flat-rate periodic payments In-kind benefits Domicile Categorical tests Means test Categorical test> Contribution or employment record Earnings-related or contribution related periodic payments In-kind bent-fits Healthcare benefits Flat-rate periodic payments Categorical tests Domicile Lump-sum, perhaps convertible to periodic payments Categorical tests Past payment of contributions Current employment Earn ing-related periodic payments Lump-sum payments African Social Security Systems 51 gaps caused by social security services being delivered by agencies delivering a multiplicity of services (ILO 1988b: 6). As a comparative evaluative methodology capable of broad application, efficiency evaluation methodologies arc also found wanting. Third, a performance evaluation of social security systems can take a variety of forms, given the availability of reliable and compatible data. Program coverage measures could be used (such as the percentage of population or work force covered or the percentage program coverage of target population categories), but they arc problematic because of the difficulties in determining, at any given moment, the number of people who are actually, rather than potentially, eligible for program benefits under general qualifying criteria specified (such as minimum residency, employment or contribution qualifying periods) (ILO 1972: 385). Benefit adequacy measures could be used (such as cash entitlements as a percentage of a poverty income threshold, of minimum earnings, of average earnings, or of GNP per capita), but they are all dubious because they ignore differential social security needs and the distribution of benefit payment above or below the chosen standard or benchmark (such as a poverty income threshold, an average wage level, GDP per capita). Beneficiary needs satisfaction or benefit adequacy perception measures could be used (such as measures of household financial security, of subjective deprivation and of subjective poverty), but they can be biased by the form of question posed and the measurement scales used. Additionally, two quite formidable efficiency or performance evaluation challenges remain. As a comparative evaluative methodology capable of broad application, performance evaluation methodologies are also found wanting. Finally, social security systems could bcasscssed on the basis of ihcacccplabilily of their design features. This methodology permits a comparative evaluation of the statutory intentions of national social security systems. Only this evaluation methodology meets the long-standing comparative evaluative challenge issued by Rys (1966: 268) of defining the "classification scales by which to judge the respective merits and shortcomings of individual members of the [social security ] universe observed." A Design Feature Evaluation Methodology A comparative evaluation methodology has been developed to assess a country's statutory social security intention (Dixon 1998, 1999). There is of course a potential, sometimes an actual implementation gap between what a social security system promises to deliver in terms of statutory program coverage, benefit eligibility, benefit generosity and program finance and administration; and what 7-4 3 32 3 36 7S 33 98 3 52 John Dixon Table 2: Social Security Design Feature Kvaluative Dimensions SYSTEM PRIMARY STRATEGY: SUPPLE. TOTAL COMPONENT COVER- EI.IGIB- 15ENE- MENTARY AGE ILITV FITS STRATEGIES OLD-AGE PROGRAM 21 DISABILITY PROGRAM 22 SURVIVORS' PROGRAM 23 SICKNESS PROGRAM 27 MATERNITY PROGRAM 25 EMPLOYMENTRELATED TEMPORARY INJURY PROGRAM 20 EMPLOYMENTRELATED PERMANENT INJURY PROGRAM 21 EMPLOYMENTRELATED SURVIVORS' PROGRAM 20 UNEMPLOYMENT PROGRAM 12 FAMILY BENEFITS PROGRAM 24 CHILD BENEFITS PROGRAM HEALTHCARE BENEFIT PROGRAM FINANCIAL ARRANGEMENTS ADMINISTRATIVE ARRANGEMENTS TOTAL 25; 189 348 3 7 Source: Dixon 1999: 200 African Social Security Systems 53 it ultimately delivers. This gap can, of course, become very significant in countries where public administration and/or public finances have largely or totally collapsed, or have become severely restricted, because of war, natural disasters or severe economic dislocation. Opcrationalising this evaluation methodology involved the articulation of a comprehensive set of 860 design features, and the systematic attachment of a subjective score to the inclusion or exclusion of particular design features that makes a social security system "more" or "less" acceptable (see Table 2). Central to any qualitative evaluative judgments must bca set of value premises. The ones adopted in this study relate to the set of benchmarks embodied by the International Labor Organization's (ILO's) conventions on minimum social security standards (ILO1952,1966,1967 and 1989). These conventions are longstanding and define an internationally accepted set of conservative, minimumstandard benchmarks identifying the design features that should be embodied in "minimally acceptable" social security systems in both developed and developing countries (ILO 1989, Tamburi 1981), as targets to be achieved in most instances. This set of standards can, of course, be challenged. Yet they remain the only articulated set of social security values that have emerged from any international discourse as "universal" in their applicability and acceptability. Oiling (1993: 169) considers that these conventions provide "an internationally accepted definition of the very idea of social security." Social security systems arc thus considered more acceptable (to varying degrees) if their design features: • cover all social security contingencies, which penalises countries that have made the policy choice, whether for ideological, political or economic reasons,'of either: • using other public policy strategics (such as lax expenditure strategics) to achieve social security goals; or • not establishing social security programs for particular contingencies; • has embodied in its constituent programs: • universality of coverage, which penalises countries that have made the policy choice of restricting coverage by excluding specific population categories, whether for ideological, political or economic reasons; • minimal restrictions with respeel to their categorising and general qualifying eligibility requirements, and the specification of needs-assessment criteria, which penalises countries if they have made the policy choice of restricting eligibility on any basis other than need, whether for 4 John Dlxon ideological, political or economic reasons; • provision of periodic cash entitlements that enable recipients to maintain their accustomed lifestyle, relative to the prevailing community living standards, which penalises countries that have made the policy choice, whether for ideological, political or economic reasons, of: • providing benefits on any basis other than past earnings; and/or • not regularly adjusting such cash entitlements so as to ensure that they remain commensurate with prevailing community living standards; • provision of health care benefits thai include appropriate medical, hospital and paramedical care, of a standard comparable to that available to the community as a whole, to those covered by social security programs (including dependents) and to social security recipients who arc in need of such services for as long as such services arc medically required, which penalises countries that have made the policy choice, whether for ideological, political or economic reasons, of restricting the availability, and/or the range of health care benefits provided under the auspices of their social security systems; and • provision of incentives to encourage and/or enable the social security recipients who arc able to work to enter the work force, which penalises countries that have made the policy choice of not introducing a set of wclfarc-lo-work measures in an effort to reduce dependency; • minimises its costs, and share them amongst employers, employees and government in such a way as to ensure that cost burden to individuals (as taxpayers and contributors) is progressive rather than regressive, which penalise countries thai have made the policy choice, whether for ideological, political or economic reasons, of: • not adopting tripartite financing for all social security programs; and/ or • limiting the degree of vertical income redistribution sought; and • has a mode of administration that is as simple and as decentralised as possible, especially from the perspective of the end user, which penalises countries that have made the policy choice, whether for ideological, political or economic reasons, of constructing a complex and/or centralised social security system. African Social Security Systems 55 For each country's social security system, the ranking score (R) has been calculated as follows: R = a UP sum + 11)11 I) + b(F) + c(A) • where Psum is the sum of all the national social security program design assessment scores, where for each social security program: P = 0.3 ((100 - Cd + Cb) + (100 - Ed + Eb) + (100 - Bd + Bb) + Sb) • where Cd is the sum of all primary strategy coverage design shortcoming deductions, Cb is the sum of all primary strategy coverage design merit bonuses, Ed is the sum of all primary strategy benefit-eligibility design shortcoming deductions, Eb is the sum of all primary strategy benefiteligibility merit bonuses, Bd is the sum of all primary strategy benefit design shortcoming deductions, Bb is the aggregate primary strategy benefit merit bonuses, and Sb is the merit bonus assigned to any supplementary strategics; • F is the national social security financing assessment score, where: F= 1OO - Fd + Fb • where Fd is the sum of all social security financing design shortcoming deductions, and Fb is the sum of all social security financing design merit bonuses; • H is the national social security health services design assessment score, where: H = 0.3 ((1OO - HCd + HCb) + (1OO - HEd + HEb) + (1OO - HBd + HBb) + HS) • where HCd is the sum of all primary health care benefit program coverage design shortcoming deductions, HCb is the sum of all primary health care coverage design merit bonuses, HEd is the sum of all primary health care benefit-eligibility design shortcoming deductions, HEb is the sum of all primary health care benefit design merit bonuses, HBd is the sum of all primary health care benefit design shortcoming deductions, HBb is the sum of all primary health care benefit design merit bonuses, and HS is the design merit bonus assigned to any supplementary health care strategies; • A is the national social security administration assessment score, where: A = (100 - Ad + Ab) • where Ad is the sum of all social security administration design short- 56 John Dixon coming deductions, and Ab is the sum of all social security administration design merit bonuses; and • a, b and c are coefficients of relative importance that sum to unity, assigned the values of 0.8,0.15 and 0.05 respectively. The output is an African regional ranking of national social security systems: a league table (sec Dixon 1999:249-250). League tables, as Rose (1995:113)quitc correctly points out: "ignore whether a country is not only making progress in relation to its own past, but also catching up in relation to other nations." The Database The social security system features derive very largely from the 1995 edition of United States Social Security Administration's SocialSecurityProgramsThroughout the World (US SS A 1996). This information source is unique in both its scope which is global and its content which is program specific, although it is not without its blemishes (see Dixon 1998,1999). A Ranking of African Social Security Systems and Programs The African social security system design standards arc comparable to those achieved in Latin American countries, although Africa's poorest designed systems arc superior to those of Latin America. The best designed African systems can be found in North Africa: Tunisia (1st), Algeria (3rd) and Libya (4th) (with Mauritius 2nd); while at the other end of the African design-standard spectrum comes Southern Africa, although the bottom ranked countries are Sierra Leone (45th), Malawi (44th) and Somalia (43rd) (sec Dixon 1999: 249-250). Sub-Regional Ranking North Africa. This sub-region's social security systems are unequivocally the best designed in Africa. Tunisia unquestionably has the best designed system, containing Africa's best designed employment related permanent disability and family support programs (the latter being ranked equal 9th in the world (with Bulgaria)), being in the same class as Bolivia's and Uruguay's, Latin America's best designed systems. Of the remaining five countries in the sub-region, three arc in the African top 10: Algeria (3rd, with Africa's best designed sickness program, employment related temporary disability programs), Libya (4th, with Africa's best designed disability program) and Egypt (equal 9th Egypt, which has Africa's best designed survivors' program). At the bottom of the sub-regional league table is Sudan, which is still only just within the bottom half of the African league table (24th). Ranking Region/ Country Africa Social Security Design Score 1 898 Tunisia 2 865 Mauritius 3 854 Algeria 4 843 Libya 829 Cape Verde 5 6 821 South Africa Burundi 810 804 Congo 800 Eygpt 800 Zaire Rwanda 797 789 Togo 7 8 9 9 11 12 13 783 Gabon 14 780 Morocco Niger 780 778 Mali 774 Benin 769 Chad 14 16 17 IS 763 Cameroon 19 754 ZambU 20 21 751 Central African Republic 748 Guinea 22 Table 3: African Regional Social Security Rankings, 1995 African Social Security Systems Region/ Country Ranking Africa Social Security Design Score 23 743 Equatorial Guinea Sudan 24 740 Madagascar 25 734 26 720 C6te d'lvoire Mauritania 27 705 28 701 Burkina Faso Kenya 698 Nigeria 680 Uganda 667 662 Zimbabwe Senegal 659 Seychelles 653 Ethiopia 624 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 610 36 Sao Tome' & Principe 610 Tanzania 604 Botswana 599 Liberia 593 Ghana 36 38 39 40 41 590 Gambia, The 590 Swaziland 41 542 Somalia 43 462 44 Malawi 429 45 Sierra Leone Source: Dixon 1999: 249-250 57 58 John Dixon Middle Africa. This sub-region's social security systems design standards match those of the middle league countries in Central America (namely Panama (4th), Honduras (5th) and El Salvador (6th)). Its best two, Congo and Zaire (in that order), arc ranked 8th and equal 9th in Africa. The sub-region's poorest designed system in the Central African Republic is still in the middle of the African league table (23rd). West Africa. Design standards of social security systems in this sub-region correspond to those achieved in the Caribbean, although its poorest design system in Sierra Leone (19th and last) is clearly belter than Surinam's, the poorest designed system in the Caribbean. Cape Verde, undoubtedly the sub-region's best designed system, is of a similar standard to that achieved by Trinidad and Tobago (ranked 2nd in the Caribbean behind the Bahamas), being the only country from this sub-region in the African top 10 (5th). Next come Togo (2nd) and Gabon (3rd). Cote dTvoire stands out only because it has a world-class designed maternity program, ranked equal 9th in the world (with Luxembourg, Sweden and Russia). The poorest designed system in the sub-region is in Sierra Lconc, which is also the poorest designed in Africa. East Africa. The design standards of this sub-region's best social security system in Mauritius, containing Africa's best designed old age, unemployment and health care benefit programs; compare la vourably to the standards achieved by the Mexican and Chilean systems (ranked 6th and 7th in Latin America respectively), which makes Mauritius the second ranking country in Africa. Following it arc Burundi (2nd) and Rwanda (3rd, with Africa's best designed employment related survivors' programs). The sub-region's poorest designed system in Malawi is considerably better than that of Sierra Lconc (West Africa). Southern Africa. The best designed system in this sub-region is that of South Alrica, containing Africa's equally best designed health care benefit program, which compares favourably to systems in Barbados and Colombia (ranked 12th and 13th in Latin America respectively), being in the African top 10 (6th). The poorest designed system in Swaziland is considerably belter than that of Malawi (East Africa). Conclusion This paper has sought to extend the comparative social security literature by incorporating an evaluative dimension, using a methodology that permits an evaluation of national statutory social security intent. The design feature evaluation mclhodology adopted, involved qualitative judgments taken from a set of value premises, derived from the ILO's conventions on minimum social security African Social Security Systems 59 standards. The conclusion drawn is that African social security system design standards arc comparable to those achieved in Latin America, the best being of comparable standard, while the poorest arc somewhat superior to those in Latin America. The very best designed African social security systems are in North Africa: Tunisia (with its world-class family support program), Algeria and Libya; and in Mauritius, which dominates the East Africa sub-region, as does Smith Africa in its subregion; and Cape Verde in West Africa. Cote dTvoirc stands out due 10 its worldclass designed maternity program. References Dixon, J. (1999) Social Security in Global Perspective. Westport, CT: Praeger. Dixon, J. (cd) (1987) Social Welfare in Africa. London: Roullcdgc. Dixon, J. (1998) "Comparative Social Security: The Challenge of Evaluation", in Journal of Comparative Policy Analysis, 1,1: 66-94. Ejuba, E. J. 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